intuition without data is whatever cognitive bias fits the situation — it feels like a hunch that shouldn’t be ignored. if I don’t understand the gibberish presidential candidates say, I’ll just choose the one who looks less crooked.
data without vision is myopia — it makes sure you’ll only get to a local maximum. you know what to do to climb a tree, but is it the right tree at all?
so, intuition or data is a false choice. good decisions require both. isolating one component is an easy shortcut, while having a holistic vision — constantly tested and refined by accurate data — feels like hard work.
you can only trust hard work.